Ask Ethan: Could the Universe be a simulation?
And if it were, is there any way we could detect that this were the case?
“Do I believe, for example, that by using magic I could fly? No. How would you get around gravity? Impossible. Do I believe that I might be able to project my consciousness into a very, very vivid simulation of flying? Yeah. Yes, I’ve done that. Yes, that works.” –Alan Moore
We take for granted, every day, that what we perceive as “real” is actually reflective of some type of objective reality. That the atoms and molecules composing our bodies actually exist; that the photons interacting with us possess energy and momentum; that the neutrinos passing through us are bona fide quantum particles. But perhaps the Universe, from the tiniest subatomic particles to the largest collections of galaxies, doesn’t exist as a physical entity, but merely as a simulation in some other, truer reality. Two of my readers (and old high school friend), Rudy and Samir, want to know about the simulation idea:
Rudy: I am skeptical, but this is interesting.
Samir: This is a topic of extreme interest and I really want to hear Ethan’s thoughts on it.
It might sound like something out of a science fiction story, but there might be some physics behind it.
One of the great mysteries of nature is why the laws of nature have the values that they do. Why are there only a fixed set of fundamental particles, interactions and fundamental constants that describe the Universe? We don’t have any mathematical or physical principles that determine what our Universe must be made of, or that allow us to derive what fundamentally exists. We are, ourselves, inside the Universe, and can only observe a finite amount of it to a finite level of sensitivity. Part of this is due to the limitations of our equipment, but part of those limits are fundamental.
We cannot see anything at distances beyond 46 billion light years because the amount of time that’s passed since the Big Bang, combined with the speed of light, is insufficient to enable us to see any farther. We cannot probe down to distances below about 10–19 meters at present, due to the limitations of our accelerator technology, but the Universe itself has a fundamental quantum limit of 10–35 meters. Even with unlimited technology, we couldn’t probe distances smaller than that. And attempts to measure various parameters simultaneously reveal fundamental uncertainties that can never be overcome: the quantum limits of what’s knowable.
It’s possible that there are real, physical explanations for why these and other parameters of the Universe are the way they are, and that we simply haven’t discovered them yet. But it’s also plausible that they have the values they do because they were coded into our Universe itself. Not in a figurative sense, either, but in a real one: perhaps the Universe really is a simulation. Our computational power has continued to increase an alarming rate over the past 70 years or so. At it has, we’ve progressed from four-function calculators that were the sizes of buildings and slower and less powerful than many human mathematicians to supercomputers the size of a printer that can run trillion-particle simulations approximating billions of years in a matter of minutes.
If computing power increased to great enough levels, we could, in principle, simulate every particle in the entire Universe over the course of its history. If the computer we created was a quantum computer, capable of keeping each single particle in an indeterminate quantum state, it might be able to incorporate this fundamental quantum uncertainty everything seems to possess. And if that simulation gave rise to planets with living, intelligent beings on it, would they be able to determine that they lived in a simulation? Certainly scientists who contend “no” are easy to find, like NASA scientist Rich Terrile, quoted heavily here, who states things like:
Even things that we think of as continuous — time, energy, space, volume — all have a finite limit to their size. If that’s the case, then our universe is both computable and finite. Those properties allow the universe to be simulated.
But this may not be true, from a physical point of view. Quantum uncertainty may be real, but that doesn’t mean that space and time are quantized, or that photon energy can’t be arbitrarily small. The observable Universe may be finite, but if you include the unobservable Universe, it may be infinite after all. We also use all sorts of tricks to reduce the computational load of our simulations, but evidence that the Universe uses those same sorts of tricks would show up in experiments as “blurred” results at small enough distances, something we don’t see at all.
While it’s true that results from information theory often show themselves in advanced theoretical physics research, that could just as easily be because they both obey consistent mathematical relations. Some arguments — that in the future, it will be easy to simulate a mind, and therefore there will someday be more simulated than organic minds, and therefore it’s more likely that we are simulated minds — are so facile and easy to poke holes in that it’s sad to see them used as legitimate. For one, why would someone capable of simulating an entire Universe care about simulating the mind of a human being? There was a debate that took place back in April between a number of scientists on this very topic, with Lisa Randall having the best line of the night concerning the simulation hypothesis:
I actually am very interested in why so many people think it’s an interesting question.
Certainly, it’s an imagination-sparking possibility. And certainly there are constraints we can place on this hypothesis by measuring space, time, matter and energy to greater precision and higher energies. But the way our understanding of reality has moved forward has always been by asking deeper questions about the Universe itself in novel, more fundamental ways. Much like appeals to the anthropic principle, appealing to the simulation hypothesis as a potential explanation for answers to today’s difficult questions sure feels a lot like giving up on science.
If you find evidence — say from cosmic rays — that spacetime is discrete, that’s an incredible boon to our knowledge of the Universe, but it doesn’t prove the simulation hypothesis. In fact, there isn’t any way to prove it; any “glitches” we find or don’t find could be properties of the Universe itself… or parameters that were put there or adjusted by the simulators. Philosophically, it might be very appealing to a civilization that fancies itself on the brink of creating artificially intelligent life. Perhaps to an advanced enough simulator, we appear just as simple as the pixels in Conway’s Game of Life appear to us.
But we don’t judge an idea’s scientific merit or likelihood on how appealing it is. Part of the reason physics is so fascinating is because of how counterintuitive it is, and also because of how predictively powerful it is. Even if we truly are living in a simulation, that shouldn’t change our quest to understand the laws of nature, how they came to be this way, why the fundamental constants have the values they do or any other questions you might ask about the nature of reality. “Because we’re living in a simulation” doesn’t become an answer to those questions; it simply becomes an inextricable part of our reality.
The mysteries of nature remain our mysteries to solve, and it’s still up to us to decide to pursue their solutions.
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